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The Best Dividend ETF to Buy and Hold, According to 15 Years of History

2026-10-08 00:30 •Todd Shriber •The Motley Fool Positive Axe Cap view: Selective •Rates•Equities•Capital Returns •SCHD•VIG

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Dividend ETFs: A Global Play with Local Caution

SCHD’s solid long-term dividend track record is notable, but South African investors should weigh currency and local alternatives carefully.

The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has earned its stripes with a 532% return over 15 years, low costs, and steady dividends. That’s impressive and worth a look if you want global dividend exposure. But for South African investors, the rand’s fluctuations against the dollar can eat into those returns. The rand’s volatility makes timing and currency risk real concerns—when the rand weakens, your US dividends can be worth more in rands, but the reverse is also true during rand strength. On the JSE itself, banks like Standard Bank and FirstRand offer decent dividend yields and more direct rand exposure, while companies like Sasol and AngloGold Ashanti provide commodity-linked inflation hedges with their own dividends. If you want the cleanest exposure without FX risk, consider some local dividend stocks or ETFs focusing on the JSE. The U.S. ETF appeal is strong but less straightforward for pure rand-based investors. If the rand stabilizes or weakens persistently, SCHD could outshine local options. But a sudden stronger rand or local dividend surprises could tilt the scale the other way. this is just our opinion and not financial advice

How I would invest

Wait to increase exposure to US dividend ETFs like SCHD until the rand shows signs of stable weakness. Meanwhile, watch local banking and commodity dividend payers for income and inflation protection.

What I would watch
  • SCHD
  • USD/ZAR
  • Standard Bank
  • FirstRand
What could go wrong
  • Sudden rand strength reducing USD-derived income
  • Local economic shocks hitting JSE dividend payers
How strongly I feel

5/10

The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) is highlighted as a top dividend ETF choice for long-term investors, with a 532% return over 15 years. The $108 billion fund offers a compelling combination of low expense ratio (0.06%), solid dividend yield (3.4%), and exposure to quality dividend-paying companies, making it suitable for both risk-averse and younger investors seeking income growth.

Our take is based on reporting first published by The Motley Fool.

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